St. Pauli VS Hamburger SV Prediction 24th 2026

St. Pauli VS Hamburger SV    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:24-01-2026 03:30 Saturday

【Strength Comparison】
This Bundesliga clash features 18th-placed St. Pauli hosting 14th-placed Hamburger SV.
St. Pauli have struggled this season, with just 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses in 17 matches. Their home form at the Millerntor-Stadion has been slightly better, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses.
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, have been inconsistent in the Bundesliga, with 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses in 17 matches. However, their away record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses indicates they have found more success at home compared to on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match slightly favors the hosting St. Pauli side. They have shown themselves to be the more organized team compared to the inconsistent Hamburger SV.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between St. Pauli and Hamburger SV shows that the teams have met 15 times in the past, with St. Pauli holding a slight advantage, winning 7 matches and losing 6.
The historical data suggests that the two teams have been evenly matched, and the upcoming match is likely to be a closely contested affair. Both sides have shown they can get results against the other.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are St. Pauli's ability to capitalize on Hamburger SV's defensive vulnerabilities, and Hamburger SV's desperation to secure a result away from home.
St. Pauli have scored 16 goals in 17 Bundesliga matches, showcasing their offensive potential. Their ability to break down the Hamburger SV defense at the Overcast Millerntor-Stadion could be a crucial factor.
Hamburger SV, on the other hand, have conceded 27 goals in 17 matches, demonstrating their defensive struggles. Their ability to frustrate St. Pauli and secure a rare away victory may prove to be the difference-maker, but it seems an uphill task given their recent form.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢2-1🔵 (Medium Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 2-1 victory for St. Pauli over Hamburger SV.
While Hamburger SV have the potential to cause problems for St. Pauli, the hosts' advantage and their more consistent performances this season may ultimately give them the edge. St. Pauli's clinical finishing and defensive organization could prove too much for the outmatched Hamburger SV.
I have a medium level of confidence in this prediction, as the outcome is not entirely certain. A 2-1 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams and the competitive nature of this Bundesliga fixture.
Hamburger SV's desperation for a result may allow them to secure a goal, but St. Pauli's overall quality is likely to prevail in the end.