Arsenal VS Chelsea Prediction 4th Feb. 2026

Arsenal VS Chelsea    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:04-02-2026 04:00 Wednesday

【Strength Comparison】
This highly anticipated League Cup semifinal clash features 1st-placed Arsenal hosting 5th-placed Chelsea.
Arsenal have been dominant in the Premier League so far, with 16 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 24 matches. Their home form at the Emirates Stadium has been particularly strong, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have been inconsistent in the Premier League, with 11 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses in 24 matches. Their away record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses indicates they have found more success at home compared to on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match slightly favors the hosting Arsenal side. They have shown themselves to be the more organized, talented, and in-form team compared to the inconsistent Chelsea.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between Arsenal and Chelsea shows that the teams have met 20 times in the past, with Arsenal holding a slight advantage, winning 9 matches and losing 8.
The historical data suggests that these two London rivals have been evenly matched, and the upcoming semifinal is likely to be a closely contested affair. Both teams will be eager to gain the upper hand and advance to the final.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are Arsenal's ability to control possession and create clear-cut chances, and Chelsea's defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
Arsenal have scored 46 goals in 24 Premier League matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their ability to break down the Chelsea defense at the Light rain-affected Emirates Stadium could be a crucial factor.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have conceded 27 goals in 24 matches, demonstrating their defensive vulnerability at times. Their ability to frustrate Arsenal and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks may prove to be the difference-maker.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢2-1🔵 (Medium Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 2-1 victory for Arsenal over Chelsea.
While Chelsea have the potential to cause problems for Arsenal, the hosts' advantage and their more consistent performances in the Premier League may ultimately give them the edge. Arsenal's clinical finishing, possession-based game, and defensive organization could prove too much for the outmatched Chelsea.
I have a medium level of confidence in this prediction, as the outcome is not entirely certain. A 2-1 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams and the competitive nature of this League Cup semifinal.
Chelsea's defensive resilience and counter-attacking threat may allow them to secure a goal, but Arsenal's overall quality is likely to prevail in the end.