Bayer Leverkusen VS St. Pauli Prediction 4th Feb.2026

Bayer Leverkusen VS St. Pauli    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:04-02-2026 03:45 Wednesday

【Strength Comparison】
This German Cup quarterfinal clash features 6th-placed Bayer Leverkusen hosting 17th-placed St. Pauli.
Bayer Leverkusen have been decent in the Bundesliga this season, with 11 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in 19 matches. Their home form at the BayArena has been slightly better, with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses.
St. Pauli, on the other hand, have struggled in the Bundesliga, with just 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses in 20 matches. Their away record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 8 losses indicates they have found more success at home compared to on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match heavily favors the hosting Bayer Leverkusen side. They have shown themselves to be the more organized, talented, and in-form team compared to the inconsistent St. Pauli.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli shows that the teams have met 8 times in the past, with Leverkusen holding a clear advantage, winning 5 matches and drawing 2.
The historical data suggests that Leverkusen have consistently had the upper hand in this fixture, and the upcoming German Cup quarterfinal is likely to follow a similar pattern. St. Pauli have struggled to get results against the more dominant Leverkusen.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are Leverkusen's ability to control possession and create clear-cut chances, and St. Pauli's defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
Leverkusen have scored 38 goals in 19 Bundesliga matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their ability to break down the St. Pauli defense at the Light rain-affected BayArena could be a crucial factor.
St. Pauli, on the other hand, have conceded 34 goals in 20 matches, demonstrating their defensive vulnerability at times. Their ability to frustrate Leverkusen and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks may prove to be the difference-maker, but it seems an uphill task given the hosts' recent form.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢2-0🔵 (High Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 2-0 victory for Bayer Leverkusen over St. Pauli.
While St. Pauli have the potential to cause problems for Leverkusen, the hosts' advantage and their decent performances in the Bundesliga may ultimately give them the edge. Leverkusen's clinical finishing, possession-based game, and defensive organization could prove too much for the outmatched St. Pauli.
I have high confidence in this prediction, as Leverkusen's performances this season and the gap in quality between the two teams indicate they are a class above their opponents, and St. Pauli's results do not bode well for their chances of securing a positive result.
A 2-0 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams, with Leverkusen leaving the Light rain-affected BayArena with a comfortable victory.