Alaves VS Real Sociedad Prediction 5th Feb 2026

Alaves VS Real Sociedad    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:05-02-2026 04:00 Thursday

【Strength Comparison】
This Copa del Rey quarterfinal clash features 10th-placed Alaves hosting 8th-placed Real Sociedad.
Alaves have been inconsistent in La Liga this season, with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses in 22 matches. Their home form at the Mendizorroza has been slightly better, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses.
Real Sociedad, on the other hand, have been decent in La Liga, with 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses in 22 matches. Their away record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses indicates they have found more success at home compared to on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match slightly favors the visiting Real Sociedad side. They have shown themselves to be the more organized and in-form team compared to the inconsistent Alaves.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between Alaves and Real Sociedad shows that the teams have met 20 times in the past, with Real Sociedad holding a slight advantage, winning 9 matches and losing 7.
The historical data suggests that these two teams have been evenly matched, and the upcoming Copa del Rey quarterfinal is likely to be a closely contested affair. Both sides will be eager to gain the upper hand and advance to the next round.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are Real Sociedad's ability to control possession and create clear-cut chances, and Alaves' defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
Real Sociedad have scored 30 goals in 22 La Liga matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their ability to break down the Alaves defense at the Overcast Mendizorroza could be a crucial factor.
Alaves, on the other hand, have conceded 27 goals in 22 matches, demonstrating their defensive vulnerability at times. Their ability to frustrate Real Sociedad and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks may prove to be the difference-maker.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢1-1🔵 (Medium Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 1-1 draw between Alaves and Real Sociedad.
While Real Sociedad have the potential to edge this contest, Alaves' home advantage and defensive resilience may allow them to secure a positive result. The teams' evenly matched nature and the competitive nature of the Copa del Rey make this a difficult fixture to call with high confidence.
A 1-1 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams and their ability to cancel each other out. Neither side may be able to gain a decisive upper hand, leading to a hard-fought stalemate.