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English Premier League---Leeds United VS Nottingham Forest Prediction

English Premier League---Leeds United VS Nottingham Forest Prediction
Leeds United VS Nottingham Forest    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:07-02-2026 04:00 Saturday

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【Strength Comparison】
Both teams enter this match in remarkably similar positions, occupying 16th and 17th place respectively.

Leeds United: The Whites are looking to bounce back after a bruising 0–4 defeat to Arsenal. Despite that result, they’ve been relatively steady at home, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin (9 goals) proving to be a revitalized focal point for Farke’s attacking system since his summer move.

Nottingham Forest: Under Sean Dyche, Forest has become a more resilient, direct unit. They’ve balanced Premier League survival with a surprising Europa League run (recently thrashing Ferencváros 4–0). While they sit below Leeds on goal difference, their away form has been surprisingly decent this season, picking up 14 of their 26 points on the road.

【Head-to-Head】
Recent Encounter: Forest dominated the reverse fixture in November 2025, securing a 3–1 victory at the City Ground.

Historical Edge: Forest holds a slight lead in the overall H2H record (33 wins to 30), but Elland Road has been a fortress against the Garibaldi; Forest hasn't won a league match at Leeds in their last five attempts (D3, L2).

The "Six-Pointer" Trend: Matches between these two in the top flight often lean toward the home side or a stalemate, with 8 of the last 10 meetings featuring both teams finding the back of the net.

【Key Factors】
The Injury Bug: Leeds will be without midfield engine Anton Stach (hip) and Lukas Nmecha (hamstring). However, the return of defenders Jaka Bijol and James Justin provides a massive boost to a backline that looked shaky against Arsenal.

Forest Absences: Dyche will have to shuffle his deck with Neco Williams suspended and Chris Wood sidelined. This likely puts the creative burden squarely on Morgan Gibbs-White.

The "Dyche Effect" vs. Farke’s Press: Leeds will likely dominate possession (averaging ~46% but higher at home), while Forest will be content to sit in a compact mid-block and strike on the counter. Fatigue could be a factor for Forest given their midweek European exploits.

【Expert Prediction】Leeds United 2–1 Nottingham Forest
This has the markings of a tense, tactical battle rather than a Friday night goal-fest. While Forest has the "new manager bounce" stability of Dyche, Leeds' home crowd and the goal-scoring form of Calvert-Lewin give them a slight edge.
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