Athletic Bilbao VS Real Sociedad Prediction 12th Feb 2026

Athletic Bilbao VS Real Sociedad    Livescore / H2H stats and Live Streaming
Time:12-02-2026 04:00 Thursday

【Strength Comparison】
This Spanish Copa del Rey semifinal clash features 10th-placed Athletic Bilbao hosting 8th-placed Real Sociedad.
Athletic Bilbao have had a mixed season in La Liga, with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses in 23 matches. Their home form at the San Mames has been relatively strong, with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses.
Real Sociedad have also been inconsistent in La Liga, with 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses in 23 matches. Their away record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses indicates they have found more success at home compared to on the road.
Based on the current standings and recent performances, this match slightly favors the hosting Athletic Bilbao side. They have shown themselves to be the more organized and in-form team compared to the inconsistent Real Sociedad.

【Head-to-Head】
The head-to-head record between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad shows that the teams have met 20 times in the past, with Athletic Bilbao holding a slight advantage, winning 8 matches and drawing 6.
The historical data suggests that these two teams have been evenly matched, and the upcoming Copa del Rey semifinal is likely to be a closely contested affair. Both sides will be eager to gain the upper hand and advance to the final.

【Key Factors】
The key factors that could determine the outcome are Athletic Bilbao's ability to control possession and create clear-cut chances, and Real Sociedad's defensive organization and counter-attacking threat.
Athletic Bilbao have scored 25 goals in 23 La Liga matches, showcasing their offensive prowess. Their ability to break down the Real Sociedad defense at the Partly cloudy San Mames could be a crucial factor.
Real Sociedad, on the other hand, have conceded 31 goals in 23 matches, demonstrating their defensive resilience at times. Their ability to frustrate Athletic Bilbao and capitalize on set-pieces or counter-attacks may prove to be the difference-maker.

【Expert Prediction】 🟢1-1🔵 (Medium Confidence)
Based on the available information, I predict a 1-1 draw between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad.
While Athletic Bilbao have the potential to edge this contest, Real Sociedad's away advantage and desperation for a result may allow them to secure a positive outcome. The teams' evenly matched nature and the competitive nature of the Copa del Rey semifinal make this a difficult fixture to call with high confidence.
A 1-1 scoreline would be a fair reflection of the relative strengths of the two teams and their ability to cancel each other out. Neither side may be able to gain a decisive upper hand, leading to a hard-fought stalemate.