Roma vs Cagliari Prediction: Unbeaten Giallorossi to Extend Olimpico Dominance

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Time:28-10-2026 03:45 Wednesday

Roma welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday evening, with Gian Piero Gasperini's side looking to return to winning ways after a hard-fought 3-3 draw at Napoli. Cagliari, meanwhile, arrive in the capital on a two-match losing streak, having conceded seven goals in their last three league outings .

【Strength Comparison】

Roma remain one of only two unbeaten teams in Serie A this season, boasting a record of five wins and three draws from their opening eight fixtures . Their attacking output has been particularly impressive at home, where they have scored at least twice in every league match this season and in eight consecutive Olimpico outings overall . Defensively, Gasperini's men have conceded just three goals in the league, although the recent 3-3 draw at Napoli exposed some vulnerabilities .

Cagliari's campaign has followed a contrasting trajectory. After a promising start that yielded four wins in their first five matches, the Sardinians have slumped to three games without a victory, including back-to-back defeats against Monza (4-0) and Bologna (2-0) . Their defensive record, which once looked formidable, has crumbled, conceding seven goals in their last three league fixtures after letting in just two in their opening five . On the road, however, Cagliari have been surprisingly resilient, winning three of their four away matches this season .

【Head-to-Head】

The historical record overwhelmingly favours Roma, particularly at the Olimpico. Cagliari have not won in Rome since February 2013, a 4-2 victory that remains their only triumph in the capital in over a decade . In their last 11 league visits to Rome, Cagliari have suffered nine defeats and managed just two draws .

More concerning for the visitors is their recent goalscoring record at the Olimpico: Cagliari have failed to score in any of their last four away league meetings with Roma since 2022, including a 2-0 defeat in the corresponding fixture last season . The most recent encounter between the two sides also ended in a comfortable 2-0 Roma victory in February 2026 .

【Key Factors】

Roma's home scoring streak: The Giallorossi have found the net at least twice in eight consecutive home matches. Cagliari's recently leaky defence, which has shipped seven goals in three games, appears ill-equipped to halt this run .

Cagliari's travel form vs. historical burden: While Cagliari's three away wins this season are commendable, the psychological weight of not having won in Rome since 2013 cannot be ignored. Their recent away performances against Roma have been characterised by a complete inability to find the net .

Injury concerns: Roma will be without key midfielders Lorenzo Pellegrini and Manu Koné, while first-choice goalkeeper Mile Svilar is also sidelined. Paulo Dybala could return to the bench, providing a potential late boost . Cagliari remain without long-term absentees Mattia Felici and Riyad Idrissi, with Harry Winks doubtful after coming off early against Bologna .

Midweek mentality: Roma have won six of their last seven Serie A fixtures played on a Tuesday, suggesting Gasperini's side are well-adapted to the quick turnaround .

【Expert Prediction】

Roma's unbeaten start, combined with their remarkable home scoring record and Cagliari's defensive collapse in recent weeks, points towards a comfortable home victory. The visitors' away form offers some encouragement, but their historical inability to score at the Olimpico against Roma is a significant hurdle.

Prediction: Roma 2-0 Cagliari

Roma should have enough quality to break down a Cagliari side low on confidence, while the visitors' recent defensive frailties suggest they will struggle to keep the hosts at bay. A clean sheet for the Giallorossi, mirroring the scoreline from their most recent meeting, appears the most probable outcome .